Football Sports Betting: 3 Smart Strategies
Tuesday, December 8th, 2009
Although there are a wide range of strategies and trends for football sports betting, three concepts prevail every week. Here’s a look at three smart strategies for the football bettor that can be very helpful during the pro and college gridiron seasons:
1. Playing the schedules
A football team’s schedule can provide plenty of insight over the course of a season. Being aware of prior and upcoming games can be useful when handicapping the current game. This concept works better in college than the NFL because college teams are less consistent from week to week than pro clubs.
Even before the season begins, an overview of a particular team’s schedule can be performed. For many teams, obvious big games and/or rivalry matchups can be spotted. Along these same lines, certain games that could be flat spots for good squads can also be isolated.
Once the season begins, the bettor can begin to ascertain how good or bad a particular team is, which will help in determining how each team will view an upcoming game. A good team could be in a letdown spot, if they have had a big game in the prior week or a critical matchup is set to take place in the following week. In addition, teams off of an open date could have an edge against a team that played in the prior week.
In the NFL, it is a little harder to isolate certain scheduling advantages, but there are times when a pro team will play up or down to the competition, like many college teams. The bye weeks in the NFL can also be used to the advantage of a bettor in many spots.
2. Analyzing the real home field advantage
Generally, the home team is given three points in a football point spread. While it is true that home squads win more often than road teams, the home clubs don’t necessarily cover the point spread more often. Subsequently, it is important to determine just how valuable a home field advantage is for a team.
In college football, Boise State is a team that has been noted for having one of the best home field advantages in all of college football. While it is well known that Boise almost always wins at home, a closer examination reveals that the Broncos usually cover the point spread as well.
USC has also been a team that has won most of its home games over the past few years. However, the Trojans’ record against the point spread has been quite average during the same time period.
Of course, fans play a tremendous role in college football. The passionate fan bases of many prominent teams can be worth more than a field goal in a particular situation. On the other hand, there are venues that really don’t offer any kind of a home edge. For example, the Tulane football team plays its home games in the vast Superdome in New Orleans. While the stadium is usually sold out for a Saints game, it is nearly empty for a Tulane contest.
Clearly, it is important to be aware of how pro and college teams fare against the spread at home. The ability to spot real or perceived home field edges can provide valuable insight into a particular game.
3. Weeding through the statistics
Ultimately, football wagers are determined solely by the points that are scored by each team. The various statistics that are accumulated each week help to determine how many points are scored and allowed in a given game. The numbers are valuable in determining what will actually happen in an upcoming game. A starting point should be how many points a particular team will score and allow in a typical week. After all, a football wager will be decided on these ultimate stats.
However, there are several other numbers to analyze. How effectively does a team run the ball on offense while defending the run on defense? The same concepts apply to the passing game as well.
The ability to pinpoint various statistics can provide an edge to the football bettor. A good team that relies on a passing offense may face a weak club that has a strong passing defense. In this example, the good team could be vulnerable to a close game or upset due to this matchup.
The ability to analyzing statistics and matchups for a particular game can go a long way towards a profitable football season for the bettor. In addition, ascertaining the true home field advantage and planning for the profit potential of the season’s schedule are important fundamentals to your betting game.



